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In this paper, we explore the aftermath of the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapse, with a particular focus on its impact on crypto markets. We conduct a multi-dimensional investigation, which includes a factual summary, analysis of user sentiment, and examination of market performance. Based on such efforts, we uncover a somewhat counterintuitive finding: the SVB collapse did not lead to the destruction of cryptocurr…
Fiat-pegged stablecoins are by nature exposed to spillover effects during market turmoil in Traditional Finance (TradFi). We observe a difference in TradFi market shocks impact between various stablecoins, in particular, USD Coin (USDC) and Tether USDT (USDT), the former with a higher reporting frequency and transparency than the latter. We investigate this, using top USDC and USDT liquidity pools in Uniswap, by adap…
Cryptocurrency markets exceed USD 3 trillion in capitalisation, yet practitioners lack an interpretable, channel-decomposed composite for characterising crypto-native systemic stress. We introduce the Aggregated Systemic Risk Index (ASRI), built from four weighted sub-indices -- Stablecoin Concentration Risk (30%), DeFi Liquidity Risk (25%), Contagion Risk (25%, implemented as a TradFi-stress proxy), and Regulatory O…
We develop a behavioural model of bank run exposure in a paycheck-to-paycheck economy with loss averse depositors. Income is received through demand deposits, and consumption ratcheting embeds reference dependence in a parsimonious asset-pricing framework. We show that sufficiently high subjective bad-state probabilities endogenously increase liquidity demand and generate equilibrium stress states supporting bank run…
With market capitalization exceeding USD250 billion by mid-2025, stablecoins have evolved from a crypto-focused innovation into a vital component of the global monetary structure. This paper identifies the characteristics of stablecoins from an analytical perspective and investigates the role of stablecoins in forming a hybrid monetary ecosystem where public (fiat, CBDC) and private (USDC, USDT, DAI) monies coexist. …
Stablecoins have emerged as a significant component of global financial infrastructure, with aggregate market capitalization surpassing USD250 billion in 2025. Their increasing integration into payment and settlement systems has simultaneously introduced novel channels of systemic exposure, particularly liquidity risk during periods of market stress. This study develops a hybrid monetary architecture that embeds fiat…
Cryptoassets are increasingly entangled with the traditional financial system, and how this activity integrates into national economies and behaves under stress bears on financial stability and the design of public digital money. However, blockchain pseudonymity and the lack of geographic identifiers force existing work to rely on indirect proxies to infer and locate market participants. Here we use a regulatory regi…
This paper analyzes the contagion effects associated with the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and identifies bank-specific vulnerabilities contributing to the subsequent declines in banks' stock returns. We find that uninsured deposits, unrealized losses in held-to-maturity securities, bank size, and cash holdings had a significant impact, while better-quality assets or holdings of liquid securities did not help…
In this work we develop a tractable structural model with analytical default probabilities depending on a random default barrier and possibly random volatility ideally associated with a scenario based underlying firm debt. We show how to calibrate this model using a chosen number of reference Credit Default Swap (CDS) market quotes. In general this model can be seen as a possible extension of the time-varying AT1P mo…