arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2022
We study market-to-book ratios of stocks in the context of Stochastic Portfolio Theory. Functionally generated portfolios that depend on auxiliary economic variables other than relative capitalizations ("sizes") are developed in two ways, together with their relative returns with respect to the market. This enables us to identify the value factor (i.e., market-to-book ratio) in returns of such generated portfolios wh…
Donghan Kim
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2022
Emerging markets such as India provide investors with returns far greater than those in developed markets; taking the average returns from the period 1995 to 2014 the returns are 4.714% to 3.276% of the developed market. The majority of emerging markets commenced joining with the capital market of the world, thus allowing a huge inflow of capital which in turn paved the path for economic growth. Even though the emerg…
Ganapathy G Gangadharan, N. Suresh
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2023
The European debt purchase market as measured by the total book value of purchased debt approached 25bn euros in 2020 and it was growing at double-digit rates. This is an example of how big the debt collection and debt purchase industry has grown and the important impact it has in the financial sector. However, in order to ensure an adequate return during the debt collection process, a good estimation of the propensi…
Abel Sancarlos, Edgar Bahilo, Pablo Mozo, Lukas Norman, Obaid Ur Rehma
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2020
Using data on 17 listed public banks from Russia over the period 2008 to 2016, we analyze whether international oil prices affect the bank stability in an oil-dependent country. We posit that a decrease in international oil prices has a negative long-run macroeconomic impact for an oil-exporting country, which further deteriorates the bank financial stability. More specifically, a decrease in international oil prices…
Claudiu Albulescu
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2019
The aim of this paper is to introduce a synthetic ALM model that catches the main specificity of life insurance contracts. First, it keeps track of both market and book values to apply the regulatory profit sharing rule. Second, it introduces a determination of the crediting rate to policyholders that is close to the practice and is a trade-off between the regulatory rate, a competitor rate and the available profits.…
Aurélien Alfonsi, Adel Cherchali, Jose Arturo Infante Acevedo
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2016
The aim of this study is to investigate quantitatively whether share prices deviated from company fundamentals in the stock market crash of 2008. For this purpose, we use a large database containing the balance sheets and share prices of 7,796 worldwide companies for the period 2004 through 2013. We develop a panel regression model using three financial indicators--dividends per share, cash flow per share, and book v…
Taisei Kaizoji, Michiko Miyano
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
Privacy-preserving exchange designs price on a coarsened view of order flow. We show that a market maker committed to informationally efficient (posterior-mean) pricing on a signal strictly coarser than the flow it settles necessarily cedes a closed-form welfare transfer to traders -- the privacy subsidy -- and that no rule restricted to the coarse signal is simultaneously efficient and zero-profit against the settle…
Yuki Nakamura
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2026
We analyse the effect of a proportional wealth tax on asset returns, portfolio choice, and asset pricing. The tax is levied annually on the market value of all holdings at a uniform rate. We show that such a tax is economically equivalent to the government acquiring a proportional stake in the investor's portfolio each period -- a form of risk sharing in which expected wealth and risk are reduced by the same factor, …
Anders G Frøseth
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2026
We reformulate the neutral wealth tax framework of Froeseth (2026; arXiv:2603.05264) in the language of stochastic dynamics and statistical physics. Individual wealth under geometric Brownian motion satisfies a Langevin equation with multiplicative noise; the probability density of wealth across a population then evolves according to a Fokker-Planck equation. A proportional wealth tax at market value enters as a unif…
Anders G Frøseth
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
An order-book market whose liquidity provision is anchored to a fundamental value carries a restoring force: the price mean-reverts to value and the book refills after a shock. We show this restoring force is a robust intrinsic stabiliser and identify it causally-dialling the anchor down removes the mean-reversion, and a leverage-driven fire-sale then self-sustains. Separately, we ask whether a stressed market transm…
Jan Novotny
arXiv · arXiv · 2014
In financial markets, the order flow, defined as the process assuming value one for buy market orders and minus one for sell market orders, displays a very slowly decaying autocorrelation function. Since orders impact prices, reconciling the persistence of the order flow with market efficiency is a subtle issue. A possible solution is provided by asymmetric liquidity, which states that the impact of a buy or sell ord…
Damian Eduardo Taranto, Giacomo Bormetti, Fabrizio Lillo
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
Agent-based models of markets readily produce emergent instabilities, but telling a genuine collective effect apart from a parameter artefact takes discipline. We apply Bouchaud's phase-diagram method to a continuous-double-auction order-book model. The method is to map the full phase diagram, test its robustness to rule changes, and rule out degenerate and numerical origins before we call any feature a tipping point…
Jan Novotny
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
We introduce a structural framework for the geometry of financial order books in which liquidity, supply, and demand are treated as emergent observables rather than primitive market variables. The market is modeled as a relational substrate without assumed metric, temporal, or price coordinates. Observable quantities arise only through observation, implemented here as a reduction of relational degrees of freedom foll…
João P. da Cruz
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
We propose a structural framework for the geometry of financial order books in which liquidity, supply, and demand are treated as emergent observables rather than primitive economic variables. The market is modeled as an inflationary relational system without assumed metric, temporal, or price coordinates. Observable quantities arise only through projection, implemented here via spectral embeddings of the graph Lapla…
João P. da Cruz
arXiv · arXiv · 2025
We study opportunistic optimal liquidation over fixed deadlines on BTC-USD limit-order books (LOB). We present RL-Exec, a PPO agent trained on historical replays augmented with endogenous transient impact (resilience), partial fills, maker/taker fees, and latency. The policy observes depth-20 LOB features plus microstructure indicators and acts under a sell-only inventory constraint to reach a residual target. Evalua…
Enzo Duflot, Stanislas Robineau
arXiv · arXiv · 2025
We present a reproducible research framework for market microstructure combining a deterministic C++ limit order book (LOB) simulator with stochastic order flow generated by multivariate marked Hawkes processes. The paper derives full stability and ergodicity proofs for both linear and nonlinear Hawkes models, implements time-rescaling and goodness-of-fit diagnostics, and calibrates exponential and power-law kernels …
Sohaib El Karmi
arXiv · arXiv · 2020
We analyze an optimal trade execution problem in a financial market with stochastic liquidity. To this end we set up a limit order book model in which both order book depth and resilience evolve randomly in time. Trading is allowed in both directions and at discrete points in time. We derive an explicit recursion that, under certain structural assumptions, characterizes minimal execution costs. We also discuss severa…
Julia Ackermann, Thomas Kruse, Mikhail Urusov
arXiv · arXiv · 2018
Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) is the difference between the value of the default-free and credit-risky derivative portfolio, which can be regarded as the cost of the credit hedge. Default probabilities are therefore needed, as input parameters to the valuation. When liquid CDS are available, then implied probabilities of default can be derived and used. However, in small markets, like the Nordic region of Europe, the…
Ola Hammarlid, Marta Leniec