arXiv · arXiv · 2026
We study cash-flow forecasting for derivatives used in liquidity management and clarify its relation to risk-neutral valuation and replication. While it is well known that expectations under different measures (e.g., $\mathbb{P}$ vs. $\mathbb{Q}$) can yield different undiscounted cash-flows, further inconsistencies arise when payment times are stochastic. We show that using discounting sensitivities (funding-curve he…
Christian P. Fries
arXiv · arXiv · 2022
Synthetic assets are decentralized finance (DeFi) analogues of derivatives in the traditional finance (TradFi) world - financial arrangements which derive value from and are directly pegged to fluctuations in the value of an underlying asset (ex: futures and options). Synthetic assets occupy a unique niche, serving to facilitate currency exchange, giving traders a means to speculate on the value of crypto assets with…
Abrar Rahman, Victor Shi, Matthew Ding, Elliot Choi
arXiv · arXiv · 2022
We study time-zero efficiency of electricity derivatives markets. By time-zero efficiency is meant a sequence of prices of derivatives contracts having the same underlying asset but different times to maturity which implies that prices comply with a set of efficiency conditions that prevent profitable time-zero arbitrage opportunities. We investigate whether statistical tests, based on the law of one price, and tradi…
Juan Ignacio Peña, Rosa Rodriguez
arXiv · arXiv · 2018
This paper shows how to recover a stochastic volatility model (SVM) from a market model of the VIX futures term structure. Market models have more flexibility for fitting of curves than do SVMs, and therefore are better suited for pricing VIX futures and VIX derivatives. But the VIX itself is a derivative of the S&P500 (SPX) and it is common practice to price SPX derivatives using an SVM. Therefore, consistent modeli…
Andrew Papanicolaou
arXiv · arXiv · 2011
This paper studies the optimal timing to liquidate credit derivatives in a general intensity-based credit risk model under stochastic interest rate. We incorporate the potential price discrepancy between the market and investors, which is characterized by risk-neutral valuation under different default risk premia specifications. We quantify the value of optimally timing to sell through the concept of delayed liquidat…
Tim Leung, Peng Liu
arXiv · arXiv · 2011
We present a quantitative study of the markets and models evolution across the credit crunch crisis. In particular, we focus on the fixed income market and we analyze the most relevant empirical evidences regarding the divergences between Libor and OIS rates, the explosion of Basis Swaps spreads, and the diffusion of collateral agreements and CSA-discounting, in terms of credit and liquidity effects. We also review t…
Marco Bianchetti, Mattia Carlicchi
arXiv · arXiv · 2009
We present a new model for credit index derivatives, in the top-down approach. This model has a dynamic loss intensity process with volatility and jumps and can include counterparty risk. It handles CDS, CDO tranches, Nth-to-default and index swaptions. Using properties of affine models, we derive closed formulas for the pricing of index CDS, CDO tranches and Nth-to-default. For index swaptions, we give an exact pric…
Louis Paulot
arXiv · arXiv · 2009
We revisit the problem of pricing and hedging plain vanilla single-currency interest rate derivatives using multiple distinct yield curves for market coherent estimation of discount factors and forward rates with different underlying rate tenors. Within such double-curve-single-currency framework, adopted by the market after the credit-crunch crisis started in summer 2007, standard single-curve no-arbitrage relations…
Marco Bianchetti
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
Thousands of SOFR derivatives are available in exchanges and OTC, but the market remains illiquid and incomplete. Such a market is beyond the scope of classic risk-neutral approaches that imply linear pricing rules and, at best, approximate hedging strategies whose hedging error may be difficult to quantify. This paper develops an indifference pricing model which is consistent with observed derivative quotes, the age…
Teemu Pennanen, Waleed Taoum
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
We develop a semi-static framework for the variance-optimal hedging of multi-asset derivatives exposed to correlation and covariance risk. The approach combines continuous-time dynamic trading in the underlying assets with a static portfolio of auxiliary contingent claims. Using a multivariate Galtchouk--Kunita--Watanabe decomposition, we show that the resulting global mean-variance problem decouples naturally into a…
Konstantinos Chatziandreou, Sven Karbach
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
This paper introduces a no-arbitrage, Monte Carlo-free approach to pricing path-dependent interest rate derivatives. The Heath-Jarrow-Morton model gives arbitrage-free contingent claims prices but is infinite-dimensional, making traditional numerical methods computationally prohibitive. To make the problem computationally tractable, I cast the stochastic pricing problem as a deterministic partial differential equatio…
Kevin Mott
arXiv · arXiv · 2024
This document presents a new C++ Automatic Differentiation (AD) tool, AD-HOC (Automatic Differentiation for High-Order Calculations). This tool aims to have the following features: -Calculation of user specified derivatives of arbitrary order -To be able to run with similar speeds as handwritten code -All derivatives calculations are computed in a single backpropagation tree pass -No source code generation is used, r…
Juan Lucas Rey
arXiv · arXiv · 2024
In this article we derive partial differential equations (PDEs) for pricing interest rate derivatives under the generalized Forward Market Model (FMM) recently presented by A. Lyashenko and F. Mercurio in \cite{lyashenkoMercurio:Mar2019} to model the dynamics of the Risk Free Rates (RFRs) that are replacing the traditional IBOR rates in the financial industry. Moreover, for the numerical solution of the proposed PDEs…
J. G. López-Salas, S. Pérez-Rodríguez, C. Vázquez
arXiv · arXiv · 2022
We present a semi-static hedging algorithm for callable interest rate derivatives under an affine, multi-factor term-structure model. With a traditional dynamic hedge, the replication portfolio needs to be updated continuously through time as the market moves. In contrast, we propose a semi-static hedge that needs rebalancing on just a finite number of instances. We show, taking as an example Bermudan swaptions, that…
Jori Hoencamp, Shashi Jain, Drona Kandhai
arXiv · arXiv · 2021
In this study we consider the pricing of energy derivatives when the evolution of spot prices is modeled with a normal tempered stable driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Such processes are the generalization of normal inverse Gaussian processes that are widely used in energy finance applications. We first specify their statistical properties calculating their characteristic function in closed form. This result is ins…
Piergiacomo Sabino
arXiv · arXiv · 2021
In this study we consider the pricing of energy derivatives when the evolution of spot prices follows a tempered stable or a CGMY driven Ornstein- Uhlenbeck process. To this end, we first calculate the characteristic function of the transition law of such processes in closed form. This result is instrumental for the derivation of non-arbitrage conditions such that the spot dynamics is consistent with the forward curv…
Piergiacomo Sabino
arXiv · arXiv · 2020
In this paper, we propose a neural network-based method for CVA computations of a portfolio of derivatives. In particular, we focus on portfolios consisting of a combination of derivatives, with and without true optionality, \textit{e.g.,} a portfolio of a mix of European- and Bermudan-type derivatives. CVA is computed, with and without netting, for different levels of WWR and for different levels of credit quality o…
Kristoffer Andersson, Cornelis W. Oosterlee
arXiv · arXiv · 2018
This article presents a generic model for pricing financial derivatives subject to counterparty credit risk. Both unilateral and bilateral types of credit risks are considered. Our study shows that credit risk should be modeled as American style options in most cases, which require a backward induction valuation. To correct a common mistake in the literature, we emphasize that the market value of a defaultable deriva…
David Lee