arXiv · arXiv · 2025
Modern economic systems face unprecedented socioeconomic challenges, making systemic resilience and effective liquidity flow management essential. Traditional models such as CAPM, VaR, and GARCH often fail to reflect real market fluctuations and extreme events. This study develops and validates an innovative mathematical model based on the Navier-Stokes equations, aimed at the quantitative assessment, forecasting, an…
Davit Gondauri
arXiv · arXiv · 2016
In this work we investigate tick-by-tick data provided by the TRTH database for several stocks on three different exchanges (Paris - Euronext, London and Frankfurt - Deutsche Börse) and on a 5-year span. We use a simple algorithm that helps the synchronization of the trades and quotes data sources, providing enhancements to the basic procedure that, depending on the time period and the exchange, are shown to be signi…
Ioane Muni Toke
arXiv · arXiv · 2018
We introduce a Cox-type model for relative intensities of orders flows in a limit order book. The model assumes that all intensities share a common baseline intensity, which may for example represent the global market activity. Parameters can be estimated by quasi likelihood maximization, without any interference from the baseline intensity. Consistency and asymptotic behavior of the estimators are given in several f…
Ioane Muni Toke, Nakahiro Yoshida
Semantic Scholar · Nepal Journal of Multidisciplinary Research · 2025 · cites 0
Background: Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investing has emerged as a pivotal mechanism for channeling global capital toward sustainability-oriented assets, reshaping contemporary financial markets and investor behavior. Hence, the paper examines how behavioral drivers influence capital allocation to ESG assets. It synthesizes emerging trends and new developments by linking investor preferences, beliefs,…
Janga Bahadur Hamal, Dilli Raj Sharma, Arjun Kumar Niroula, J. Poudel, Ganesh Datt Pant
arXiv · arXiv · 2022
Prudent management of insurance investment portfolios requires competent asset pricing of fixed-income assets with time-to-event contingent cash flows, such as consumer asset-backed securities (ABS). Current market pricing techniques for these assets either rely on a non-random time-to-event model or may not utilize detailed asset-level data that is now available with most public transactions. We first establish a fr…
Jackson P. Lautier, Vladimir Pozdnyakov, Jun Yan
arXiv · arXiv · 2010
This paper presents an overview of information-based asset pricing. In this approach, an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. The market is assumed to have access to "partial" information about future cash flows. Each cash flow is determined by a collection of independent market factors called X-factors. The market filtration is generated by a set of information processes, each of which carries information ab…
Dorje C. Brody, Lane P. Hughston, Andrea Macrina
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
Quantitative trading is moving from isolated predictive models toward agentic workflows that combine reasoning, tool use, memory, and feedback. This survey reviews agentic quantitative trading across five stages: factor mining, signal discovery, portfolio construction, order execution, and risk management. We further examine agentic quant trading systems through architecture, coordination, and adaptation, while compa…
Fengrui Hua, Hengyi Yang, Xinlei Hao, Haohan Zhang, Bokai Cao
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
A new class of software systems is transforming investment analysis. Large language model agents assembled into collaborative team structures including analysts, researchers, and risk managers are increasingly deployed across financial markets. Yet current multi-agent frameworks share a critical limitation: they rely on the foundational assumption that companies can be valued through traditional cash flows. This para…
Yuhan Fang
arXiv · arXiv · 2020
A theoretical method is empirically illustrated in finding the best time to forsake a loan such that the overall credit loss is minimised. This is predicated by forecasting the future cash flows of a loan portfolio up to the contractual term, as a remedy to the inherent right-censoring of real-world `incomplete' portfolios. Two techniques, a simple probabilistic model as well as an eight-state Markov chain, are used …
Arno Botha, Conrad Beyers, Pieter de Villiers
arXiv · arXiv · 2014
There is considerable debate whether the domestic political institutions (specifically, the country s level of democracy) of the host developing country toward foreign investors are effective in establishing the credibility of commitments are still underway, researchers have also analyzed the effect of international institutions such as (GATT-WTO) membership and Bilateral Investment treaties (BIT) in their role of es…
Arslan Tariq Rana, Mazen Kebewar
arXiv · arXiv · 2014
All the financial practitioners are working in incomplete markets full of unhedgeable risk-factors. Making the situation worse, they are only equipped with the imperfect information on the relevant processes. In addition to the market risk, fund and insurance managers have to be prepared for sudden and possibly contagious changes in the investment flows from their clients so that they can avoid the over- as well as u…
Masaaki Fujii, Akihiko Takahashi
arXiv · arXiv · 2013
A technique from stochastic portfolio theory [Fernholz, 1998] is applied to analyse equity returns of Small, Mid and Large cap portfolios in an emerging market through periods of growth and regional crises, up to the onset of the global financial crisis. In particular, we factorize portfolios in the South African market in terms of distribution of capital, change of stock ranks in portfolios, and the effect due to di…
Diane Wilcox, Tim Gebbie
arXiv · arXiv · 2012
High-value transactions between Australian banks are settled in the Reserve Bank Information and Transfer System (RITS) administered by the Reserve Bank of Australia. RITS operates on a real-time gross settlement (RTGS) basis and settles payments sourced from the SWIFT, the Austraclear, and the interbank transactions entered directly into RITS. In this paper, we analyse a dataset received from the Reserve Bank of Aus…
Andrey Sokolov, Rachel Webster, Andrew Melatos, Tien Kieu
arXiv · arXiv · 2011
We consider a nonlinear extension of the generalized network flow model, with the flow leaving an arc being an increasing concave function of the flow entering it, as proposed by Truemper and Shigeno. We give a polynomial time combinatorial algorithm for solving corresponding flow maximization problems, finding an epsilon-approximate solution in O(m(m+log n)log(MUm/epsilon)) arithmetic operations and value oracle que…
Laszlo A. Vegh
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
This study examines active liquidity management by Indian open-ended equity mutual funds. We find that fund managers respond to inflows by increasing cash holdings, which are later used to purchase less-liquid stocks at favourable valuations. Funds with less liquid portfolios tend to maintain larger cash reserves to manage flows. Funds that make active liquidity choices yield statistically and economically significan…
Pankaj K Agarwal, H K Pradhan, Konark Saxena
arXiv · arXiv · 2016
We propose a parametric model for the simulation of limit order books. We assume that limit orders, market orders and cancellations are submitted according to point processes with state-dependent intensities. We propose new functional forms for these intensities, as well as new models for the placement of limit orders and cancellations. For cancellations, we introduce the concept of "priority index" to describe the s…
Ioane Muni Toke, Nakahiro Yoshida
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2014
Using a proprietary dataset of meta-orders and prediction signals, and assuming a quasi-linear impact model, we deconvolve market impact from past correlated trades and a predictable return component to elicit the temporal dependence of the market impact of a single daily meta-order, over a ten day horizon in various equity markets. We find that the impact of single meta-orders is to a first approximation universal a…
X. Brokmann, E. Serie, J. Kockelkoren, J. -P. Bouchaud
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
We present SAiFE_gym, a Python module that provides a collection of simulation environments for studying trading problems in Constant Product Markets (CPMs) with Concentrated Liquidity (CL). These markets give Liquidity Providers (LPs) granular control over how their capital is allocated and enable them to adjust their range of liquidity provision dynamically based on market conditions, which in turn, dictates how th…
Georgios Chionas, Charalampos Kleitsikas, Stefanos Leonardos, Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt, Carmine Ventre