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Results for “inverted commodity curve” · papers 3 · wiki 0
Academic Papers · 3arXiv q-fin live 0 · desk corpus 3
arXiv · arXiv · 2026

Data-Driven Duration Management -- Term Structure Forecasting Using Machine Learning

This paper compares different methods for forecasting the term structure of U.S. and European zero-coupon government bonds using both traditional econometric and Machine Learning (ML) approaches. We compare classical models (e.g., Dynamic Nelson-Siegel (DNS) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA)) with different Neural Network (NN) architectures, including those inspired by the classical models, on the U.S. Treasury …

Tobias Lausser, Joao Eduardo Vuolo, Rudi Zagst
arXiv · arXiv · 2026

Early-Buyer Groups and Fast-Wallet Teams on a Bonding-Curve Launchpad: A Prospective Measurement Study of pump.fun on Solana

We study coordinated groups of wallets on a bonding-curve launchpad (pump.fun on Solana), using a complete record of 200\,443 token launches, 15\,854\,121 curve trades and 51\,025\,958 SOL transfers over 88.3 hours. A prospective, multi-channel discovery procedure (co-buying, shared funding, joint signing, transfers, consolidation) yields 23\,710 wallet groups. Without ground-truth labels we validate them by out-of-s…

Fail Gafarov
arXiv · arXiv · 2016

Kriging of financial term-structures

Due to the lack of reliable market information, building financial term-structures may be associated with a significant degree of uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a new term-structure interpolation method that extends classical spline techniques by additionally allowing for quantification of uncertainty. The proposed method is based on a generalization of kriging models with linear equality constraints (market-…

Areski Cousin, Hassan Maatouk, Didier Rullière
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