arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2026
Foundation models have transformed domains from language to genomics by learning general-purpose representations from large-scale, heterogeneous data. We introduce TradeFM, a 524M-parameter generative Transformer that brings this paradigm to market microstructure, learning directly from billions of trade events across >9K equities. To enable cross-asset generalization, we develop scale-invariant features and a univer…
Maxime Kawawa-Beaudan, Srijan Sood, Kassiani Papasotiriou, Daniel Borrajo, Manuela Veloso
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
This study examines active liquidity management by Indian open-ended equity mutual funds. We find that fund managers respond to inflows by increasing cash holdings, which are later used to purchase less-liquid stocks at favourable valuations. Funds with less liquid portfolios tend to maintain larger cash reserves to manage flows. Funds that make active liquidity choices yield statistically and economically significan…
Pankaj K Agarwal, H K Pradhan, Konark Saxena
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
We develop a rigorous walk-forward validation framework for algorithmic trading designed to mitigate overfitting and lookahead bias. Our methodology combines interpretable hypothesis-driven signal generation with reinforcement learning and strict out-of-sample testing. The framework enforces strict information set discipline, employs rolling window validation across 34 independent test periods, maintains complete int…
Gagan Deep, Akash Deep, William Lamptey
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2023
In decentralized finance ("DeFi"), automated market makers (AMMs) enable traders to programmatically exchange one asset for another. Such trades are enabled by the assets deposited by liquidity providers (LPs). The goal of this paper is to characterize and interpret the optimal (i.e., profit-maximizing) strategy of a monopolist liquidity provider, as a function of that LP's beliefs about asset prices and trader behav…
Jason Milionis, Ciamac C. Moallemi, Tim Roughgarden
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2018
We study a continuous-time version of the intermediation model of Grossman and Miller (1988). To wit, we solve for the competitive equilibrium prices at which liquidity takers' demands are absorbed by dealers with quadratic inventory costs, who can in turn gradually transfer these positions to an exogenous open market with finite liquidity. This endogenously leads to transient price impact in the dealer market. Smoot…
Peter Bank, Ibrahim Ekren, Johannes Muhle-Karbe
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
Stock trading strategies play a critical role in investment. However, it is challenging to design a profitable strategy in a complex and dynamic stock market. In this paper, we propose an ensemble strategy that employs deep reinforcement schemes to learn a stock trading strategy by maximizing investment return. We train a deep reinforcement learning agent and obtain an ensemble trading strategy using three actor-crit…
Hongyang Yang, Xiao-Yang Liu, Shan Zhong, Anwar Walid
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
Financial markets are complex systems characterized by high statistical noise, nonlinearity, volatility, and constant evolution. Thus, modeling them is extremely hard. Here, we address the task of generating realistic and responsive Limit Order Book (LOB) market simulations, which are fundamental for calibrating and testing trading strategies, performing market impact experiments, and generating synthetic market data…
Leonardo Berti, Bardh Prenkaj, Paola Velardi
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
This paper presents a realistic simulated stock market where large language models (LLMs) act as heterogeneous competing trading agents. The open-source framework incorporates a persistent order book with market and limit orders, partial fills, dividends, and equilibrium clearing alongside agents with varied strategies, information sets, and endowments. Agents submit standardized decisions using structured outputs an…
Alejandro Lopez-Lira
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2021
Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has been envisioned to have a competitive edge in quantitative finance. However, there is a steep development curve for quantitative traders to obtain an agent that automatically positions to win in the market, namely \textit{to decide where to trade, at what price} and \textit{what quantity}, due to the error-prone programming and arduous debugging. In this paper, we present the fir…
Xiao-Yang Liu, Hongyang Yang, Jiechao Gao, Christina Dan Wang
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
Developing professional, structured reasoning on par with human financial analysts and traders remains a central challenge in AI for finance, where markets demand interpretability and trust. Traditional time-series models lack explainability, while LLMs face challenges in turning natural-language analysis into disciplined, executable trades. Although reasoning LLMs have advanced in step-by-step planning and verificat…
Yijia Xiao, Edward Sun, Tong Chen, Fang Wu, Di Luo
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2022
Within the mathematical finance literature there is a rich catalogue of mathematical models for studying algorithmic trading problems -- such as market-making and optimal execution -- in limit order books. This paper introduces \mbtgym, a Python module that provides a suite of gym environments for training reinforcement learning (RL) agents to solve such model-based trading problems. The module is set up in an extens…
Joseph Jerome, Leandro Sanchez-Betancourt, Rahul Savani, Martin Herdegen
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2016
We utilize a fundamentally different model of trading costs to look at the effect of the opening of the Hong Kong Shanghai Connect that links the stock exchanges in the two cities, arguably the biggest event in international business and finance since Christopher Columbus set sail for India. We design a novel methodology that compensates for the lack of data on trading costs in China. We estimate trading costs across…
Ravi Kashyap
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2012
In this work, we apply our newly proposed perturbative expansion technique to a quadratic growth FBSDE appearing in an incomplete market with stochastic volatility that is not perfectly hedgeable. By combining standard asymptotic expansion technique for the underlying volatility process, we derive explicit expression for the solution of the FBSDE up to the third order of volatility-of-volatility, which can be directl…
Masaaki Fujii, Akihiko Takahashi
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2011
We consider the optimal trade execution strategies for a large portfolio of single stocks proposed by Almgren (2003). This framework accounts for a nonlinear impact of trades on average market prices. The results of Almgren (2003) are based on the assumption that no shares of assets per unit of time are trade at the beginning of the period. We propose a general solution method that accomodates the case of a positive …
Massimiliano Marzo, Daniele Ritelli, Paolo Zagaglia
arXiv · arXiv · 2015
A new modelling approach that directly prescribes dynamics to the term structure of VIX futures is proposed in this paper. The approach is motivated by the tractability enjoyed by models that directly prescribe dynamics to the VIX, practices observed in interest-rate modelling, and the desire to develop a platform to better understand VIX option implied volatilities. The main contribution of the paper is the derivati…
Alexander Badran, Beniamin Goldys
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
In this paper, we develop an open-economy macroeconomic model of a Proof-of-Stake network to analyze nominal token-price dynamics and the systemic effects of speculative capital. We first consider a network populated solely by active utility users, who finance network activity through a steady exogenous inflow of fiat currency. We prove the existence of a unique, globally asymptotically stable steady-state equilibriu…
Mikhail Perepelitsa
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
Foster and Viswanathan (1996) extend the discrete-time setting of Kyle (1985) to multiple informed traders who have partial information about the stock's terminal dividend. We resolve two long-standing open problems in this literature. First, we prove that an equilibrium exists in the setting of Foster and Viswanathan (1996). Second, as the number of trading times goes to infinity, we prove that the discrete-time equ…
Jin Choi, Kasper Larsen
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
Retractions serve as an indicator of failures in research integrity, yet most analyses focus on absolute counts rather than risk per paper. We use one of the largest open bibliographic databases to develop incidence metrics normalized by population: retractions per publication and per active author annually. Applying an epidemiological framework that models counts with exposure, we find evidence of exponential growth…
Sara Venturini, Alessandra Urbinati, Paola Gallo, Jessica T. Davis, Alessandro Vespignani