arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2013
We analyze realized volatilities constructed using high-frequency stock data on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. In order to avoid non-trading hours issue in volatility calculations we define two realized volatilities calculated separately in the two trading sessions of the Tokyo Stock Exchange, i.e. morning and afternoon sessions. After calculating the realized volatilities at various sampling frequencies we evaluate the b…
Tetsuya Takaishi, Ting Ting Chen, Zeyu Zheng
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2024
In this paper, we propose a complete modelling framework to value several batteries in the electricity intraday market at the trading session scale. The model consists of a stochastic model for the 24 mid-prices (one price per delivery hour) combined with a deterministic model for the liquidity costs (representing the cost of going deeper in the order book). A stochastic optimisation framework based on dynamic progra…
Enzo Cognéville, Thomas Deschatre, Xavier Warin
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2018
The composition of natural liquidity has been changing over time. An analysis of intraday volumes for the S&P500 constituent stocks illustrates that (i) volume surprises, i.e., deviations from their respective forecasts, are correlated across stocks, and (ii) this correlation increases during the last few hours of the trading session. These observations could be attributed, in part, to the prevalence of portfolio tra…
Seungki Min, Costis Maglaras, Ciamac C. Moallemi
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2026
In this work, we investigate a market making execution problem on a trading session in which a continuous phase on a limit order book is followed by a closing auction. Whereas standard optimal market making models typically rely on terminal inventory penalties to manage end-of-day risk, ignoring the significant liquidity events available in closing auctions, we propose a deep reinforcement learning framework, consist…
Julius Graf, Thibaut Mastrolia
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
This paper investigates optimal execution strategies in intraday energy markets through a mutually exciting Hawkes process model. Calibrated to data from the German intraday electricity market, the model effectively captures key empirical features, including intra-session volatility, distinct intraday market activity patterns, and the Samuelson effect as gate closure approaches. By integrating a transient price impac…
Konstantinos Chatziandreou, Sven Karbach
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2026
Conventional algorithmic trading systems are grounded in deterministic heuristics or offline-trained statistical models that cannot adapt to the semantic complexity of rapidly shifting market regimes. This paper introduces AGENTICAITA, an agentic AI framework that replaces the traditional signal then execute paradigm with a fully autonomous deliberative loop in which multiple specialized Large Language Model agents r…
Ivan Letteri
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2024
Flaws of a continuous limit order book mechanism raise the question of whether a continuous trading session and a periodic auction session would bring better efficiency. This paper wants to go further in designing a periodic auction when both a continuous market and a periodic auction market are available to traders. In a periodic auction, we discover that a strategic trader could take advantage of the accumulated in…
Thibaut Mastrolia, Tianrui Xu
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2018
We study the intraday behaviour of the statistical moments of the trading volume of the blue chip equities that composed the Dow Jones Industrial Average index between 2003 and 2014. By splitting that time interval into semesters, we provide a quantitative account of the non-stationary nature of the intraday statistical properties as well. Explicitly, we prove the well-known U-shape exhibited by the average trading v…
Michelle B Graczyk, Silvio M D Queirós
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2017
We calculate realized volatility of the Nikkei Stock Average (Nikkei225) Index on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and investigate the return dynamics. To avoid the bias on the realized volatility from the non-trading hours issue we calculate realized volatility separately in the two trading sessions, i.e. morning and afternoon, of the Tokyo Stock Exchange and find that the microstructure noise decreases the realized volatil…
Tetsuya Takaishi, Toshiaki Watanabe
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2013
For classification of the high frequency trading quantities, waiting times, price increments within and between sessions are referred to as the a-, b-, and c-increments. Statistics of the a-b-c-increments are computed for the Time & Sales records posted by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group for the futures traded on Globex. The Weibull, Kumaraswamy, Riemann and Hurwitz Zeta, parabolic, Zipf-Mandelbrot distribution…
Valerii Salov
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2012
Regarding the intraday sequence of high frequency returns of the S&P index as daily realizations of a given stochastic process, we first demonstrate that the scaling properties of the aggregated return distribution can be employed to define a martingale stochastic model which consistently replicates conditioned expectations of the S&P 500 high frequency data in the morning of each trading day. Then, a more general fo…
Fulvio Baldovin, Francesco Camana, Massimiliano Caporin, Michele Caraglio, Attilio L. Stella
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2009
A minimal model of a market of myopic non-cooperative agents who trade bilaterally with random bids reproduces qualitative features of short-term electric power markets, such as those in California and New England. Each agent knows its own budget and preferences but not those of any other agent. The near-equilibrium price established mid-way through the trading session diverges to both much higher and much lower pric…
Randall A. LaViolette, Lory A. Ellebracht, Kevin L. Stamber, Charles J. Gieseler, Benjamin K. Cook
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2004
We present a model that investigates the spontaneous emergence of randomness in equity market microstructure. The phase space analysis of our model exposes an endogenous source of fluctuation in price and volume. We formulate a control problem for maximizing price regularity and stability while minimizing entanglement with the market, representing the NYSE specialists' affirmative obligation to maintain `fair and ord…
Ted Theodosopoulos, Muffasir Badshah