arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2026
We develop a continuous-time structural dynamic model to determine the exact insolvency regions of banks arising from the non-linear interaction between liquidity and credit risk. While existing literature predominantly treats these risks in isolation or via reduced-form specifications, we explicitly model the feedback loop where funding shocks and regulatory constraints force balance-sheet adjustments that can lead …
Nader Karimi, Davood Ahmadian
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2024
This paper studies a type of periodic utility maximization problem for portfolio management in incomplete stochastic factor models with convex trading constraints. The portfolio performance is periodically evaluated on the relative ratio of two adjacent wealth levels over an infinite horizon, featuring the dynamic adjustments in portfolio decision according to past achievements. Under power utility, we transform the …
Wenyuan Wang, Kaixin Yan, Xiang Yu
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2016
In this paper, we employ the Heston stochastic volatility model to describe the stock's volatility and apply the model to derive and analyze the optimal trading strategies for dealers in a security market. We also extend our study to option market making for options written on stocks in the presence of stochastic volatility. Mathematically, the problem is formulated as a stochastic optimal control problem and the con…
Wai-Ki Ching, Jia-Wen Gu, Tak-Kuen Siu, Qing-Qing Yang
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2010
We assume that an individual invests in a financial market with one riskless and one risky asset, with the latter's price following a diffusion with stochastic volatility. In the current financial market especially, it is important to include stochastic volatility in the risky asset's price process. Given the rate of consumption, we find the optimal investment strategy for the individual who wishes to minimize the pr…
Erhan Bayraktar, Xueying Hu, Virginia R. Young
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2009
In finance industry portfolio construction deals with how to divide the investors' wealth across an asset-classes' menu in order to maximize the investors' gain. Main approaches in use at the present are based on variations of the classical Markowitz model. However, recent evolutions of the world market showed limitations of this method and motivated many researchers and practitioners to study alternative methodologi…
Giordano Pola, Gianni Pola
arXiv · arXiv · 2024
This paper introduces a novel stochastic model for credit spreads. The stochastic approach leverages the diffusion of default intensities via a CIR++ model and is formulated within a risk-neutral probability space. Our research primarily addresses two gaps in the literature. The first is the lack of credit spread models founded on a stochastic basis that enables continuous modeling, as many existing models rely on fa…
Mohamed Ben Alaya, Ahmed Kebaier, Djibril Sarr
arXiv · arXiv · 2023
In this paper, we consider a generic interest rate market in the presence of roll-over risk, which generates spreads in spot/forward term rates. We do not require classical absence of arbitrage and rely instead on a minimal market viability assumption, which enables us to work in the context of the benchmark approach. In a Markovian setting, we extend the control theoretic approach of Gombani & Runggaldier (2013) and…
Claudio Fontana, Simone Pavarana, Wolfgang J. Runggaldier
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
We develop a variational formulation of Kyle's model of informed trading that accommodates stochastic liquidity and multiple traded assets. The main equilibrium result is stated first: under a martingale dual condition, a matrix-valued martingale depth process generates a linear-Gaussian equilibrium with stochastic matrix-valued price impact. We derive this martingale from a primal-dual problem, inspired by causal op…
Ibrahim Ekren, Evangelos A. Nikitopoulos, Lu Vy
arXiv · arXiv · 2025
Concentrated liquidity automated market makers (AMMs), such as Uniswap v3, enable liquidity providers (LPs) to earn liquidity rewards by depositing tokens into liquidity pools. However, LPs often face significant financial losses driven by poorly selected liquidity provision intervals and high costs associated with frequent liquidity reallocation. To support LPs in achieving more profitable liquidity concentration, w…
Simon Caspar Zeller, Paul-Niklas Ken Kandora, Daniel Kirste, Niclas Kannengießer, Steffen Rebennack
arXiv · arXiv · 2023
We study how to unwind stochastic order flow with minimal transaction costs. Stochastic order flow arises, e.g., in the central risk book (CRB), a centralized trading desk that aggregates order flows within a financial institution. The desk can warehouse in-flow orders, ideally netting them against subsequent opposite orders (internalization), or route them to the market (externalization) and incur costs related to p…
Marcel Nutz, Kevin Webster, Long Zhao
arXiv · arXiv · 2022
We construct an equilibrium for the continuous time Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity, a general distribution of the fundamental price, and correlated stock and volatility dynamics. For distributions with positive support, our equilibrium allows us to study the impact of the stochastic volatility of noise trading on the volatility of the asset. In particular, when the fundamental price is log-normally distribute…
Ibrahim Ekren, Brad Mostowski, Gordan Žitković
arXiv · arXiv · 2022
Overnight rates, such as the SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) in the US, are central to the current reform of interest rate benchmarks. A striking feature of overnight rates is the presence of jumps and spikes occurring at predetermined dates due to monetary policy interventions and liquidity constraints. This corresponds to stochastic discontinuities (i.e., discontinuities occurring at ex-ante known points in…
Claudio Fontana, Zorana Grbac, Thorsten Schmidt
arXiv · arXiv · 2020
We analyze an optimal trade execution problem in a financial market with stochastic liquidity. To this end we set up a limit order book model in which both order book depth and resilience evolve randomly in time. Trading is allowed in both directions and at discrete points in time. We derive an explicit recursion that, under certain structural assumptions, characterizes minimal execution costs. We also discuss severa…
Julia Ackermann, Thomas Kruse, Mikhail Urusov
arXiv · arXiv · 2018
We develop a general term structure framework taking stochastic discontinuities explicitly into account. Stochastic discontinuities are a key feature in interest rate markets, as for example the jumps of the term structures in correspondence to monetary policy meetings of the ECB show. We provide a general analysis of multiple curve markets under minimal assumptions in an extended HJM framework and provide a fundamen…
Claudio Fontana, Zorana Grbac, Sandrine Gümbel, Thorsten Schmidt
arXiv · arXiv · 2018
Explicitly taking into account the risk incurred when borrowing at a shorter tenor versus lending at a longer tenor ("roll-over risk"), we construct a stochastic model framework for the term structure of interest rates in which a frequency basis (i.e. a spread applied to one leg of a swap to exchange one floating interest rate for another of a different tenor in the same currency) arises endogenously. This rollover r…
Mesias Alfeus, Martino Grasselli, Erik Schlögl
arXiv · arXiv · 2016
We solve explicitly a two-dimensional singular control problem of finite fuel type for infinite time horizon. The problem stems from the optimal liquidation of an asset position in a financial market with multiplicative and transient price impact. Liquidity is stochastic in that the volume effect process, which determines the inter-temporal resilience of the market in spirit of Predoiu, Shaikhet and Shreve (2011), is…
Dirk Becherer, Todor Bilarev, Peter Frentrup
arXiv · arXiv · 2015
In this paper we develop a new form of agent-based model for limit order books based on heterogeneous trading agents, whose motivations are liquidity driven. These agents are abstractions of real market participants, expressed in a stochastic model framework. We develop an efficient way to perform statistical calibration of the model parameters on Level 2 limit order book data from Chi-X, based on a combination of in…
Efstathios Panayi, Gareth Peters
arXiv · arXiv · 2011
The purpose of this paper is two-fold. First is to extend the notions of an n-dimensional semimartingale and its stochastic integral to a piecewise semimartingale of stochastic dimension. The properties of the former carry over largely intact to the latter, avoiding some of the pitfalls of infinite-dimensional stochastic integration. Second is to extend two fundamental theorems of asset pricing (FTAPs): the equivalen…
Winslow Strong