arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2024
Due to the recent increase in interest in Financial Technology (FinTech), applications like credit default prediction (CDP) are gaining significant industrial and academic attention. In this regard, CDP plays a crucial role in assessing the creditworthiness of individuals and businesses, enabling lenders to make informed decisions regarding loan approvals and risk management. In this paper, we propose a workflow-base…
Rambod Rahmani, Marco Parola, Mario G. C. A. Cimino
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2022
Uniswap is a Constant Product Market Maker built around liquidity pools, where pairs of tokens are exchanged subject to a fee that is proportional to the size of transactions. At the time of writing, there exist more than 6,000 pools associated with Uniswap v3, implying that empirical investigations on the full ecosystem can easily become computationally expensive. Thus, we propose a systematic workflow to extract an…
Deborah Miori, Mihai Cucuringu
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
Decentralized prediction markets (DePMs) allow open participation in event-based wagering without fully relying on centralized intermediaries. We review the history of DePMs which date back to 2011 and includes hundreds of proposals. Perhaps surprising, modern DePMs like Polymarket deviate materially from earlier designs like Truthcoin and Augur v1. We use our review to present a modular workflow comprising eight sta…
Nahid Rahman, Joseph Al-Chami, Jeremy Clark
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2026
Recent advances in large language models, tool-using agents, and financial machine learning are shifting financial automation from isolated prediction tasks to integrated decision systems that can perceive information, reason over objectives, and generate or execute actions. This paper develops an integrative framework for analysing agentic finance: financial market environments in which autonomous or semi-autonomous…
Hui Gong
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2023
Market making (MM) has attracted significant attention in financial trading owing to its essential function in ensuring market liquidity. With strong capabilities in sequential decision-making, Reinforcement Learning (RL) technology has achieved remarkable success in quantitative trading. Nonetheless, most existing RL-based MM methods focus on optimizing single-price level strategies which fail at frequent order canc…
Hui Niu, Siyuan Li, Jiahao Zheng, Zhouchi Lin, Jian Li
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2021
Reinforcement learning (RL) techniques have shown great success in many challenging quantitative trading tasks, such as portfolio management and algorithmic trading. Especially, intraday trading is one of the most profitable and risky tasks because of the intraday behaviors of the financial market that reflect billions of rapidly fluctuating capitals. However, a vast majority of existing RL methods focus on the relat…
Shuo Sun, Wanqi Xue, Rundong Wang, Xu He, Junlei Zhu
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2026
We develop a signature-based framework for optimal execution in statistical arbitrage strategies with path-dependent predictive signals. Both the alpha process and the trading speed are modelled as linear functionals of the truncated signature of a time-augmented market path, placing signal generation and execution on the same truncated signature basis. This allows the trading rule to react to the realised history of…
Gianmarco Morbelli, Sven Karbach, Mike Derksen
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2026
The rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has led to a surge of financial benchmarks, evolving from static knowledge evaluation toward interactive trading simulations. However, existing frameworks for evaluating real-time trading largely overlook a critical failure mode: the severe behavioral instability of LLMs in sequential decision-making under financial uncertainty. Through extensive experiments, we s…
Wentao Zhang, Mingxuan Zhao, Jincheng Gao, Jieshun You, Huaiyu Jia
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2026
The advancement of large language models (LLMs) has accelerated the development of autonomous financial trading systems. While mainstream approaches deploy multi-agent systems mimicking analyst and manager roles, they often rely on abstract instructions that overlook the intricacies of real-world workflows, which can lead to degraded inference performance and less transparent decision-making. Therefore, we propose a …
Kunihiro Miyazaki, Takanobu Kawahara, Stephen Roberts, Stefan Zohren
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
For quantitative trading risk management purposes, we present a novel idea: the realized local volatility surface. Concisely, it stands for the conditional expected volatility when sudden market behaviors of the underlying occur. One is able to explore risk management usages by following the orthotical Delta-Gamma dynamic hedging framework. The realized local volatility surface is, mathematically, a generalized Wiene…
Yuming Ma, Shintaro Sengoku, Kazuhide Nakata
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
Portfolio optimization is a fundamental challenge in quantitative finance, requiring robust computational tools that integrate statistical rigor with practical implementation. We present skfolio, an open-source Python library for portfolio construction and risk management that seamlessly integrates with the scikit-learn ecosystem. skfolio provides a unified framework for diverse allocation strategies, from classical …
Carlo Nicolini, Matteo Manzi, Hugo Delatte
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
In financial trading, large language model (LLM)-based agents demonstrate significant potential, but their decisions can be sensitive to noisy and non-stationary market information. We propose ContestTrade, a multi-agent trading system with an internal competitive mechanism inspired by institutional investment workflows. The system consists of two specialized teams: (1) a Data Team that processes and condenses massiv…
Rui Sun, Li Zhao, Zuoyou Jiang, Bo Yang, Yuxiao Bai
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
The financial industry's growing demand for advanced natural language processing (NLP) capabilities has highlighted the limitations of generalist large language models (LLMs) in handling domain-specific financial tasks. To address this gap, we introduce the LLM Pro Finance Suite, a collection of five instruction-tuned LLMs (ranging from 8B to 70B parameters) specifically designed for financial applications. Our appro…
Gaëtan Caillaut, Raheel Qader, Jingshu Liu, Mariam Nakhlé, Arezki Sadoune
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
We present a scalable, hardware-aware methodology for extending the Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) to large, realistic Dynamic Portfolio Optimization (DPO) problems. Building on the scaling strategy from our previous work, where we tailored a VQE workflow to both the DPO formulation and the target QPU, we now put forward two significant advances. The first is the implementation of the Ising Sample-based Quantu…
Irene De León, Danel Arias, Manuel Martín-Cordero, María Esperanza Molina, Pablo Serrano
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
Hybrid-quantum classical optimization has emerged as a promising direction for addressing financial decision problems under current quantum hardware constraints. In this work we present a practical end-to-end portfolio optimization pipeline that combines (i) a continuous mean-variance and Sharpe-ratio formulation, (ii) a QUBO/CQM-based discrete asset selection stage solved using D-Wave's hybrid quantum annealing solv…
Sai Nandan Morapakula, Sangram Deshpande, Rakesh Yata, Rushikesh Ubale, Uday Wad
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
We present a fast and robust calibration method for stochastic volatility models that admit Fourier-analytic transform-based pricing via characteristic functions. The design is structure-preserving: we keep the original pricing transform and (i) split the pricing formula into data-independent inte- grals and a market-dependent remainder; (ii) precompute those data-independent integrals with GPU acceleration; and (iii…
Keyuan Wu, Tenghan Zhong, Yuxuan Ouyang
arXiv · arXiv q-fin · 2025
The efficient and effective construction of portfolios that adhere to real-world constraints is a challenging optimization task in finance. We investigate a concrete representation of the problem with a focus on design proposals of an Exchange Traded Fund. We evaluate the sampling-based CVaR Variational Quantum Algorithm (VQA), combined with a local-search post-processing, for solving problem instances that beyond a …
Gabriele Agliardi, Dimitris Alevras, Vaibhaw Kumar, Roberto Lo Nardo, Gabriele Compostella
arXiv · arXiv · 2026
We present a large-scale experimental study of quantum-computing-based molecular simulation carried out on IQM's Sirius 24-qubit superconducting processor, utilizing up to 16 operational qubits. The work employs Sample-based Quantum Diagonalization (SQD) together with the Local Unitary Cluster Jastrow (LUCJ) ansatz to estimate ground-state energies for a set of benchmark molecules, including H$_2$, LiH, BeH$_2$, H$_2…
Anurag K. S. V., Ashish Kumar Patra, Manas Mukherjee, Alok Shukla, Sai Shankar P.