Gen 30,600Demand 30,100DC 2.5%AI 12.1 GWOPEC+ 5.7

Loading map…

Map layers (toggle)

Score96Shock

Focus risk

Hormuz Energy ShockSHOCK

24H Events 12Signals 10

Shipping stress, missile risk, and Gulf-linked escalation continue to cluster into a concentrated event regime with direct energy-market implications.

Scoring criteria

Score = Severity 30% + Recency 20% + Source Credibility 15% + Multi-source Confirmation 15% + Market Transmission 20%. Physical disruption (pipeline outage, tanker hit, strait restriction) floors the score. Oil-price dips are transmission, not recovery.

0-29 Calm, 30-49 Watch, 50-69 Stress, 70-84 High Risk, 85-100 Shock

physical_first_hold

Key Developments

Military and missile risk remains elevated
Shipping and energy-route fragility is being repriced
Government and Trump signaling are amplifying volatility

Market Impact

Oil volatility remains biased higher
Shipping and tanker beta remain sensitive
Gold and safe-haven demand stay supported

Trade Path

Long front-end crude convexity
Watch tanker and shipping beta
Use gold as geopolitical hedge

Expand score/intel under Conflict; tap a marker for detail

Timeline · Transport · Military

Timeline

Live Headline Flow

18 Items

Iran ConflictNYT WorldHigh Risk

Houthis Push to Expand Territory as Tensions With Saudi Arabia Rise

NYT World•Iran Conflict•45 min ago

Iran ConflictBBC BusinessHigh Risk

Ed Davey calls for immediate 10p cut to fuel duty

BBC Business•Iran Conflict•2h ago

Iran ConflictCNBC WorldHigh Risk

U.S. urges Americans to reconsider Middle East travel as Iran tensions rise

CNBC World•Iran Conflict•2h ago

Ukraine ConflictGuardian WorldHigh Risk

Ukraine targets Moscow with hundreds of drones on final day of Russian election

Guardian World•Ukraine Conflict•2h ago

Iran ConflictAl JazeeraHigh Risk

Postponing the future: War and inflation redraw marriage terms in Iran

Al Jazeera•Iran Conflict•3h ago

Iran ConflictAl JazeeraHigh Risk

What are Iran’s latest conditions to end its war with the US?

Al Jazeera•Iran Conflict•5h ago

Iran ConflictFTHigh Risk

US retailer rations motor oil as prices quadruple and supplies run dry

FT•Iran Conflict•6h ago

Iran ConflictNYT WorldHigh Risk

In Significant Escalation, Houthis Attack Saudi Capital

NYT World•Iran Conflict•10h ago

Ukraine ConflictAl JazeeraHigh Risk

Moscow attacked by more than 1,000 Ukrainian drones

Al Jazeera•Ukraine Conflict•3h ago

Ukraine ConflictNYT WorldHigh Risk

Hundreds of Drones Target Moscow on Final Day of Russian Elections

NYT World•Ukraine Conflict•4h ago

Ukraine ConflictFTHigh Risk

Ukraine hits Moscow with ‘largest ever’ drone attack

FT•Ukraine Conflict•5h ago

Ukraine ConflictCNBC WorldHigh Risk

Ukraine launches heavy Moscow drone attack as Russia votes

CNBC World•Ukraine Conflict•5h ago

Ukraine ConflictNYT WorldHigh Risk

Russia Barred Their Party, but These Antiwar Voices Are Still Standing

NYT World•Ukraine Conflict•5h ago

Ukraine ConflictBBC WorldHigh Risk

Largest attack on Moscow sees Ukraine fire hundreds of drones, mayor says

BBC World•Ukraine Conflict•6h ago

Iran ConflictGuardian WorldHigh Risk

Thick smoke seen near Riyadh airport as Houthis claim attack on Saudi capital

Guardian World•Iran Conflict•16h ago

Ukraine ConflictNYT WorldHigh Risk

Russia Warns New U.S. Sanctions Law Would Harm Trump’s Peace Efforts

NYT World•Ukraine Conflict•22h ago

Iran ConflictNYT WorldHigh Risk

A Small Country’s Huge Windfall from the War in Iran

NYT World•Iran Conflict•1d ago

Iran ConflictBBC BusinessHigh Risk

'We simply don't know' - JP Morgan struggling to forecast oil prices due to Trump's war with Iran

BBC Business•Iran Conflict•1d ago