Flights OpenSky Ships AIS PortsBlue lines on the map are shipping lanes

Gen 30,600Demand 30,100DC 2.5%AI 12.1 GWOPEC+ 5.7

Loading map…

Map layers (toggle)

Score92Shock

Focus risk

Hormuz Energy ShockSHOCK

24H Events 12Signals 11

Shipping stress, missile risk, and Gulf-linked escalation continue to cluster into a concentrated event regime with direct energy-market implications.

Scoring criteria

Score = Severity 30% + Recency 20% + Source Credibility 15% + Multi-source Confirmation 15% + Market Transmission 20%. Physical disruption (pipeline outage, tanker hit, strait restriction) floors the score. Oil-price dips are transmission, not recovery.

0-29 Calm, 30-49 Watch, 50-69 Stress, 70-84 High Risk, 85-100 Shock

physical_first_hold

Key Developments

Military and missile risk remains elevated
Shipping and energy-route fragility is being repriced
Government and Trump signaling are amplifying volatility

Market Impact

Oil volatility remains biased higher
Shipping and tanker beta remain sensitive
Gold and safe-haven demand stay supported

Trade Path

Long front-end crude convexity
Watch tanker and shipping beta
Use gold as geopolitical hedge

Expand score/intel under Conflict; tap a marker for detail

Timeline · Transport · Military

Timeline

Live Headline Flow

18 Items

Iran ConflictGuardian WorldHigh Risk

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards ‘almost certainly’ behind RAF Fairford threats, says Burnham

Guardian World•Iran Conflict•1h ago

Iran ConflictFTHigh Risk

UK imposes new sanctions on Iran over RAF Fairford incident

FT•Iran Conflict•1h ago

Iran ConflictNYT WorldHigh Risk

Saudi Arabia Faces More Attacks as It Reels From Airport Strikes

NYT World•Iran Conflict•2h ago

Iran ConflictGuardian WorldHigh Risk

Saudi Arabia further suspends flights after latest deadly Houthi attack on airport

Guardian World•Iran Conflict•2h ago

Iran ConflictAl JazeeraHigh Risk

Oil tanker reportedly attacked in Strait of Hormuz region

Al Jazeera•Iran Conflict•2h ago

Ukraine ConflictBBC WorldHigh Risk

Six Ukrainian energy sites hit by Russia since Trump announced ceasefire, Zelensky says

BBC World•Ukraine Conflict•36 min ago

Ukraine ConflictNYT WorldHigh Risk

Trump Gives Putin a Hand in Russia’s Economic War With Ukraine

NYT World•Ukraine Conflict•47 min ago

Ukraine ConflictNYT WorldHigh Risk

NATO Details Plan to Shield Ukraine’s European Allies from Russia

NYT World•Ukraine Conflict•1h ago

Ukraine ConflictGuardian WorldHigh Risk

Zelenskyy says ‘increasingly clear’ Russia does not want energy ceasefire after strikes on energy facilities – as it happened

Guardian World•Ukraine Conflict•1h ago

Iran ConflictAl JazeeraHigh Risk

Iran-Saudi talks on Yemen’s Houthis: What’s in it for Tehran?

Al Jazeera•Iran Conflict•3h ago

Iran ConflictCNBC WorldHigh Risk

Saudi Arabia says drones and missiles still targeting kingdom as Iran-backed Houthis step up attacks

CNBC World•Iran Conflict•5h ago

Ukraine ConflictFTHigh Risk

Putin is breaching Trump’s ‘energy ceasefire’, Zelenskyy says

FT•Ukraine Conflict•3h ago

Ukraine ConflictGuardian WorldHigh Risk

Children and women included in Reform plan to immediately deport 90,000 asylum seekers

Guardian World•Ukraine Conflict•3h ago

Ukraine ConflictFTHigh Risk

Nato’s supreme commander warns Moscow against attacks in Europe

FT•Ukraine Conflict•4h ago

Ukraine ConflictGuardian WorldHigh Risk

Balkan temperatures swing as heavy rain heads for Greece

Guardian World•Ukraine Conflict•7h ago

Ukraine ConflictNYT WorldHigh Risk

Russian Film Aims to Rewrite History of Deadly Theater Bombing in Ukraine

NYT World•Ukraine Conflict•9h ago

Ukraine ConflictFTHigh Risk

US threatens to block arms for Ukraine over attacks on Russian refineries

FT•Ukraine Conflict•11h ago

Mining & MineralsAl JazeeraHigh Risk

Deadly gold mine air strikes highlight Egypt-Sudan border insecurity

Al Jazeera•Mining & Minerals•2h ago