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Forced Sellers Move Markets More Than Headlines Do

The 2022 UK gilt crisis, the August 2024 VIX spike, and every quarterly index rebalance trace back to the same mechanism — someone running out of room to wait


Most market commentary opens with a forecast. Rates will fall, or oil will rise, or equities are overbought. A large share of short-term price action has nothing to do with anyone changing their mind. Certain participants simply run out of room to wait, and that alone moves price.

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