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MACROPRO

Apr 15, 2026

三元悖论：霍尔木兹终局

几点要注意：一、下一个要注意的时间节点 1）未来 48 小时内：第二轮美伊谈判是否真的落地现在最直接的短线节点，不是什么宏大叙事，是“谈判会不会真的恢复” 路透、联合国和美联社的口径都指向同一个东西：各方都在推动第二轮美伊会谈尽快重启，特朗普也公开说谈判可能在“未来两天内”恢复。也就是说，4月15日到4月17日是市场短线最敏感的窗口。

#宏观#伊朗#霍尔木兹

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MACROPRO

Apr 12, 2026

三元博弈：地面行动恐将成为最后手段

快速总结下现状：第一，这不是“真正和平”，而是停火窗口加博弈延续。伊朗与美国在伊斯兰堡进行了大约 21 小时谈判，但没有达成正式协议，技术层接触仍在继续。这说明你说的“不是和平，而是拖时间、控风险、各自套利”，基本命中。第二，伊朗确实把霍尔木兹当成谈判筹码，而不是单纯军事目标。

#伊朗#霍尔木兹#宏观

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Cover for Roughly Square - The Ugly TRUTH OF LLMs

MACROFREE

Apr 12, 2026

Roughly Square - The Ugly TRUTH OF LLMs

approximation error discrete steps ideal curve ZTRADER · AI RESEARCH | APRIL 2026 | COGNITIVE INFRASTRUCTURE SERIES · ISSUE 01 Research Paper — Full Report Roughly Square The Ugly

#ai#artificial-intelligence#technology

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MACROPRO

Apr 08, 2026

三方停火！霍尔木兹局势何去何从？

ZR Premium Extension The Real Game Behind The Negotiation Table What Each Side Cannot Afford To Lose 真正的地缘政治交易，不是看谁想要什么。而是看：谁不能失去什么。因为谈判从来不是围绕目标展开，而是围绕约束展开。

#霍尔木兹#伊朗#宏观

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Cover for The China Story: The 5% Illusion

MACROPRO

Apr 01, 2026

The China Story: The 5% Illusion

Inside of China arcane economic structure

#the-china-story#china#economics

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Cover for TACO Options Playbook 01: WHY BEING RIGHT STILL LOSES MONEY

MACROFREE

Mar 29, 2026

TACO Options Playbook 01: WHY BEING RIGHT STILL LOSES MONEY

You did everything right. You studied the fundamentals, waited for your entry, and your directional call was correct. You still lost money. You did everything right.

#options#greeks#options-trading

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MACROPRO

Mar 28, 2026

战争特辑：决定金价的几大力量

战争如何改变黄金定价？本文拆解地缘风险、实际利率、美元流动性、央行买盘、避险溢价与持仓结构，说明金价在战争环境中真正被什么力量驱动。

#黄金#宏观#期货

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Cover for TACO Issue 01- When Trump's Mouth Becomes the Biggest Risk Factor

MACROFREE

Mar 27, 2026

TACO Issue 01- When Trump's Mouth Becomes the Biggest Risk Factor

TACO markets have broken every traditional options hedging framework. Here is the structural logic — and what actually works.

#taco#trump#trading

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Cover for The AI Productivity Empires 01

MACROFREE

Mar 27, 2026

The AI Productivity Empires 01

Every technological revolution eventually becomes a power redistribution event. History never remembers the invention. It remembers who reorganized production around it.

#ai#artificial-intelligence

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Cover for Deep Options 04 Markets Do Not Move Because People Are Bullish Markets Move Because Dealers Must Hedge

MACROPRO

Mar 19, 2026

Deep Options 04 Markets Do Not Move Because People Are Bullish Markets Move Because Dealers Must Hedge

Deep Options 04 Markets Do Not Move Because People Are Bullish Markets Move Because Dealers Must Hedge Most traders grow up believing markets move because opinions change.

#options#deep-options#greeks

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Cover for Deep Options 03 Why Professionals Rarely Just Buy Calls

MACROFREE

Mar 19, 2026

Deep Options 03 Why Professionals Rarely Just Buy Calls

Deep Options 03  Why Professionals Rarely Just Buy Calls One of the quiet differences between developing traders and experienced options traders is not their market view.

#options#trading

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Cover for Deep Options 02 The Most Expensive Thing Retail Traders Consistently Buy

MACROPRO

Mar 19, 2026

Deep Options 02 The Most Expensive Thing Retail Traders Consistently Buy

Deep Options 02 The Most Expensive Thing Retail Traders Consistently Buy There is a very specific trade that almost every developing options trader makes at some point.

#options#options-trading#deep-options

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