ZMACRO Research · Weekly Note
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Alpha & Risk Log 01 | 08.23.2026: The Global Dollar Deadlock
A changing paradigm in volatility, rates, and flow — and why most of the market hasn't priced it yet.

ZMACRO Research · Weekly Note
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- MACRO RESEARCHHow to Trade Economic Data: Reading JOLTS, PMI and Payrolls Like a Macro Trader (Part 1)Market reaction to economic releases is driven by surprise magnitude, calendar timing, and the specific Fed-focused component, rendering headline numbers virtually useless.
- FED RESEARCHHow to Trade Economic Data 02: Inflation, CPI, PPI and PCEThe Fed announces its next decision on October 28. September PCE, the inflation gauge the Fed targets, comes out on October 29.
- FED RESEARCHWhy Is Gold Falling? The Iran War, the Fed Hike and the Real-Yield Math Behind Gold's 2026 SelloffGold is falling because the Iran war's oil shock pushed the Fed into hiking and lifted the US 10-year real yield to 2.90%, its highest level since 2008.
- FED RESEARCHThe Great Divide of Fed : On October Rate CutHeres why October's Fed Meeting is in absolute chaos
- MACRO RESEARCHOil Prices, the Strait of Hormuz and the Midterms: How to Trade Brent Calendar SpreadsThe Saudi bypass pipeline should be back to full flow around election week, which is when Washington’s reported timeline for renewed strikes on Iran begins, and the Brent futures c
- MACRO RESEARCHHORMUZ IS THE BEST LEVERAGE ON EARTHIt only takes one low-cost attack to damage trillions.