本月免费剩余 3/3
Ask ZChat · save an investment note
Macro Weekly | The New Hiking Cycle
All alpha is generated when markets shift paradigms.
In my market thesis yesterday, I discussed the Fed’s possible playbook and how the different scenarios are beginning to play out.
Topics
- Fed
Further reading
- FED RESEARCHThe Great Divide of Fed : On October Rate CutHeres why October's Fed Meeting is in absolute chaos
- FED RESEARCHHow to Trade Economic Data 02: Inflation, CPI, PPI and PCEThe Fed announces its next decision on October 28. September PCE, the inflation gauge the Fed targets, comes out on October 29.
- FED RESEARCHWeekly Macro | The Fed Faces Three Flashpoints This Week Markets Are Priced for None of ThemFOMC minutes, a Fed governor's board fight, and Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote land in the same eight days, while the VIX curve prices the outcome as a foregone conclusion.
- FED RESEARCHWhy Are Bond Yields Falling While the Fed Is Hiking?Investors fled AI stocks into Treasuries and pulled real yields lower, while oil kept a December hike priced.
- FED RESEARCHZMacro Weekly: September CPI and 5% 10-Year Treasury YieldHeadline CPI runs hot on gasoline; the 10-year’s 5.24% is a long-end problem a soft core print won’t fix.
- FED RESEARCHWhy Is Gold Falling? The Iran War, the Fed Hike and the Real-Yield Math Behind Gold's 2026 SelloffGold is falling because the Iran war's oil shock pushed the Fed into hiking and lifted the US 10-year real yield to 2.90%, its highest level since 2008.