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The U.S. Bond Crisis
The FIMA–Bond–Dollar–Yen Mechanism: A Complete Breakdown
Why Bessent is trying to put out a forest fire with a bottle of water — and what happens when the bottle runs out.
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The U.S. Bond Crisis | The FIMA–Bond–Dollar–Yen Mechanism: A Complete Breakdown
Why Bessent is trying to put out a forest fire with a bottle of water — and what happens when the bottle runs out.
Topics
- Japan
Further reading
- MACRO RESEARCH日债抛售潮如何引爆美股抛售：一条从“日本期限溢价”到“全球风险资产再定价”的传导链How Japanese Bond Selloff could trigger global financial chaos
- MACRO RESEARCHJAPAN'S NEW POLICY THE GRAND BLUEPRINTTakaichi’s ¥370 Trillion Gambit — How Japan Went From Passively Accepting a Weak Yen to Actively Repricing Capital, Currency, Labor, and Corporate Equity by State Design
- FED RESEARCHThe Carry Trade That Could Break the Treasury Market: Inside Japan's Yen Defense and the 2026 Unwind RiskIntervention bought Tokyo three weeks. The carry trade that funds half the world's risk appetite is already back near record size — and this time the exit runs straight through the
- FED RESEARCHBessent Publicly Orders the Fed to Bail Out the Yen — and Leaves Warsh No Quiet Way OutHe didn't ask at their usual Tuesday breakfast. He asked on X, in front of markets, naming the Fed facility he wants enlarged. Warsh now has six weeks to answer, and every option i
- MACRO RESEARCHTWO AUTHORITIES ARE BLUFFING. THE MARKET IS ABOUT TO FIND OUT WHICH ONE FOLDS FIRSTThe BOJ signals hikes it can't deliver while defending the yen. OPEC+ stops even pretending to defend a floor.
- MACRO RESEARCHYen Intervention Meets the AI Debt WallThree systems that were never built to absorb each other — a strengthening yen, a Fed that has stopped explaining itself, and an AI credit chain running on circular financing — are