Jul 20, 2026
Weekly Macro | Chips Down. Oil Up.
Markets ended the week under pressure from two shocks that affect valuation through different channels.
Ztrader · Research
Fed, macro, vol, and quant notes — written for judgment, not headlines.Macro judgment inputs · EN / 中文 / 日本語One-click translateAI read-aloudFree · switch language in the header
Members
Full arguments, not teasers
Subscribe for complete reports — or browse the text archive.
Ask · Memory
Grounded answers from the research corpus — not a chatbot personality.
Jul 20, 2026
Markets ended the week under pressure from two shocks that affect valuation through different channels.
Jun 16, 2026
The real battle is economic — and when a $500M capability can be extracted, compressed, and re-injected for $30M, the implications for frontier AI valuations are something the market has not yet priced.
Jun 14, 2026
Using Claude Opus 4.8 as the current anchor of American AI national power, this analysis dissects the real fault lines across four simultaneous battlegrounds: the model gap, distillation infiltration, chip blockade, and compute bifurcation.
May 12, 2026
The Four Operations of Intelligence The Four Operations of Intelligence Most people think AI is about models. Bigger models. More parameters. More agents. More automation.
May 07, 2026
I · THE INHERITANCE You Did Not Choose Your Starting Weights In April 2026, Anthropic published a paper in Nature with a name almost deliberately mundane: "Language models transmit...
May 06, 2026
Here's why Michael Burry is wrong about Palantir..
May 05, 2026
These are top 20 options trading prompts and how to use them
May 04, 2026
These are top 20 prompts for every traders to learn before they trade.
Apr 29, 2026
Prompts is not everything. Workflow defines quality of everything you prompted
Apr 12, 2026
approximation error discrete steps ideal curve ZTRADER · AI RESEARCH | APRIL 2026 | COGNITIVE INFRASTRUCTURE SERIES · ISSUE 01 Research Paper — Full Report Roughly Square The Ugly
Mar 27, 2026
Every technological revolution eventually becomes a power redistribution event. History never remembers the invention. It remembers who reorganized production around it.

Dec 14, 2025
Oracle’s Miss and the Growing Gap Between Compute Investment and Cash Flow The easiest way to misunderstand an AI bubble is to look for the 1999 version: vaporware companies with n...
Nov 25, 2025
By Dorian · Ztrader AI Taiwan, Nov 25, 2025 Most of my current market outlooks have moved to: blog.ztrader.ai The Planet module is undergoing a database upgrad
Nov 25, 2025
By Dorian · Ztrader AI Taiwan, Nov 25, 2025 Most of my current market outlooks have moved to: blog.ztrader.ai The Planet module is undergoing a database upgrad
Nov 20, 2025
A Systems-Level Analysis of the Cloudflare Outage and the Fragility of Modern Infrastructure By Dorian — Technical Research Notes for RAG Corpus Abstract
Nov 20, 2025
前段时间Cloudflare全球挂了。作为全球最佛,技术实力最雄厚的托管商。(我的平台就是cloudflare托管的,没花钱)。由于Cloudflare 用来判别机器人和爬虫的模块bot management 升级了AI组件~ AI疯狂判定新的bot(甚至把UA/IP/header signature也归类为bot)
Nov 17, 2025
Why the LLM Mania Should End Now By Dorian — 2025 1. Introduction: The Golden Age Has Already Passed When the transformer revolution erupted in 2017 and the scaling law was formali...
Nov 16, 2025
AI大模型的死局:The Failing Scaling Law Ilya 当时最重要的洞见,就是通过scaling law大规模地训练模型以激活模型本身的能量。 当时他是对的,这也是LLM大语言模型至关重要的跃迁。tokenizer+transformer+neural network使得大模型能够回应人类,而非生成一堆无意义的陈腔滥调和无法链接的文字。
Oct 27, 2025
Machine × Capital: The Hedge Fund AI er’s Playbook 研究目标 :把 AI 从“能跑模型”升级为“可复用、可监控、可扩容的现金流装置”,在不恶化拥挤度和冲击成本的前提下,稳定贡献 10–30 bps/月 的结构性 α。 主线 :数据工程 → 模型工程 → 执行与风控 → 治理与审计 → 产能扩张。
Oct 27, 2025
Machine × Capital: The Hedge Fund AI er’s Playbook 一页摘要(给没耐心的 PM) 研究目标:把 AI 从“能跑模型”升级为“可复用、可监控、可扩容的现金流装置”,在不恶化拥挤度和冲击成本的前提下,稳定贡献 10–30 bps/月 的结构性 α。