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Nov 02, 2026
Investors fled AI stocks into Treasuries and pulled real yields lower, while oil kept a December hike priced.
Oct 05, 2026
S&P 500 forward earnings yield (5.26%) now trails the 10-year Treasury (5.28%) because rates rose faster than earnings estimates.
Sep 29, 2026
China's near-record-low 10-year yield came with two decades of equity underperformance and capital controls that Chinese savers are already working around by buying US tech.
Sep 27, 2026
Treasury yields at their highest since 2007 are pricing a contest between the Treasury and the Federal Reserve over who sets the price of long-term American debt, and eighty years of bond market history show how that contest usually ends.
Sep 23, 2026
The market has not yet priced in the risks of over-collateralized AI chip loans, credit tightening, and inflation.
Sep 01, 2026
Bonds tell you what money costs, how much liquidity exists, what the market thinks inflation will do, whether governments can refinance themselves, and how aggressively investors are being paid to take duration risk.
Jul 24, 2026
The Fed does not set interest rates. It sets a corridor, then pays banks to sit inside it.