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#oil
- Oct 19, 2026
Trump’s Russia Sanctions Waiver and the Saudi Oil Shock
You don’t show weakness to a rival, and you certainly don’t win a war by being weak. That is precisely what Trump is doing right now.
- Oct 18, 2026
Strait of Hormuz Shipping Crisis: Oil Prices and the Midterm Deadline
Iran’s tanker attacks hit a wartime high after Trump ruled out strikes before November 3
MEMBERS - Sep 30, 2026
Why Is Gold Falling? The Iran War, the Fed Hike and the Real-Yield Math Behind Gold's 2026 Selloff
Gold is falling because the Iran war's oil shock pushed the Fed into hiking and lifted the US 10-year real yield to 2.90%, its highest level since 2008.
MEMBERS - Sep 28, 2026
Oil Prices, the Strait of Hormuz and the Midterms: How to Trade Brent Calendar Spreads
The Saudi bypass pipeline should be back to full flow around election week, which is when Washington’s reported timeline for renewed strikes on Iran begins, and the Brent futures curve is where those two dates collide.
MEMBERS - Sep 20, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, Oil Prices and Fed Rate Hikes: This Is Not an Inflation Problem. It Is a War Problem.
The Fed can raise rates, but it cannot reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
- Sep 16, 2026
HORMUZ IS THE BEST LEVERAGE ON EARTH
It only takes one low-cost attack to damage trillions.
MEMBERS - Sep 16, 2026
THE HORMUZ TRAP | Why the world is running out of maritime chokepoints
Why the world is running out of maritime chokepoints
- Aug 03, 2026
TWO AUTHORITIES ARE BLUFFING. THE MARKET IS ABOUT TO FIND OUT WHICH ONE FOLDS FIRST
The BOJ signals hikes it can't deliver while defending the yen. OPEC+ stops even pretending to defend a floor.
MEMBERS - Jul 28, 2026
MACRO WEEKLY | The Fed Meets Today With Ten Ships in the Strait
ZMACRO JULY 28, 2026 Oil · Shipping · Monetary Policy The Fed Meets Today With Ten Ships in the Strait Hormuz traffic is down 95%. War-risk premiums have gone up forty-fold. Crude round-tripped a hundred dollars in two s
MEMBERS - Jul 25, 2026
Hormuz Reopened. The Red Sea and the Caspian Just Failed Too.
The market priced the ceasefire as an ending. It was a pause between three chokepoints failing one after another — and the refining system never got the chance to rebuild what the first shock took.
MEMBERS - Jul 20, 2026
Weekly Macro | Chips Down. Oil Up.
Markets ended the week under pressure from two shocks that affect valuation through different channels.
MEMBERS - May 27, 2026
The Hormuz Insurance Blockade: The actuarial mechanics that closed the strait before Iran could
The actuarial mechanics that closed the strait before Iran could
MEMBERS